Category: Uncategorized

Facts, lies and probability

Politics in the USA has become tainted by lies, or more specifically by the willingness of large sections of the media to manufacture or circulate lies for political ends.  This is because there is not a BBC in the USA, maintaining a basic standard of rigour in interogating claims and validating facts and it is why the BBC is, in my opinion, an institution every British citizen must fight, to their dying breaths, to preserve from the assaults of government, media barons and “free” market fundamentalists.

(As an aside : it is no co-incidence that the greatest incidence of lying in the British media occurs within the tabloid press, i.e. the area of the media where the BBC doesn’t operate – note the revelations currently tumbling forth from the Leveson Inquiry.)

As a consequence of endemic lying, there is a great deal of focus in the USA on the opportunity for citizens to become involved in fact-checking – note the recent efforts by Jeff Jarvis and Craig Newmark, summarised in this Huffington Post article.  The points that Craig make are all very good, but I can’t help thinking that the solution he is advocating – a huge database or network of networks – may prove unworkable because it represents another form of institution (albeit one managed more collaboratively) to supervise the current institutions which are deemed to be failing.  This seems to swim against the tide of what is happening in social media where trust is being swept out of institutions into transparent processes.   Perhaps, therefore, we already have the tools we need – the databse already exists, it is the social digital space – it is more a question of thinking how we design processes, rather than the technologies, to validate facts.

This brought me back to a slide I presented at a #Phonar workshop at the Coventry University School of Art and Design a couple of weeks ago.  The slide (in all its messy build(ed) complexity) is below.

This was an attempt to use the normal distribution curve to explain or understand the future of media, or more precisely the future of mediation and fact checking.  The basic assumption behind this is that the way institutionalised media has worked to date is a reductive process.  It seeks to cut-away the facts that it sees as not relevant or ‘worthy’ of publication and focus on its own, necessarily restricted interpretation, of what is news or what we need to know.  “All the news that is fit to print”, as the NY Times famously put it – albeit it a more accurate presentation of this might be “All the news that it is profitable to print”.  This because media space is a precious and expensive resource – there is no space within it to contain everything. As a result, the institutionalised media focuses on what it perceives to be “the norm”, that which clusters around a median point which it has set.

But the thing about social media is that it is not restricted – it can contain the entire data set – and the issue therefore is how to create a process that allows us to form a judgement about information that exploits this abundance.  It seems to me that this cannot be a process based on saying “this is right” and “this is wrong”, or setting an arbitrary median point around which to focus, to the exclusion of that which falls outside – this is an institutionalised response.  Rather it has to be a process that allows us to see where on the curve everything sits – based around how many people support a particular fact or truth (the two are different) and sufficient transparency to see who these people are.

The example I used to illustrate this, drawn from an earlier part of my presentation, was the recent #superinjunction furore that struck the UK media in which certain celebrities (e.g. footballer Ryan Giggs) sought, to protect themselves from the intrusive behaviour of the tabloid media via the use of legal injunctions.  A quick examination of Twitter and other social media networks, revealed that the vast majority of people were actually not interested in Ryan Giggs’ love-life.  This, of course, clashed with the agenda of the tabloid media who wished to splash this in salacious detail across their front pages.  In other words readers of the tabloid press saw the Ryan Giggs affair as sitting on a very different part of the curve to that of the tabloid media, who saw it as worthy of acres of newsprint.  This lead me to the observation that one of the reasons many tabloid journalists hate social media is because it deflates their ability to titillate.

What we need to focus on are therefore the processes that allow us to see where on the curve something sits, rather than classifying it as right or wrong, fact or lie.  We also need to take care about what we call truth.  The comments that follow Craig’s Huffington Post piece demonstrate the tendency for many to equate the opposite of a lie as being the truth.  Returning to original exercise, the opposite of a lie is a fact.  Facts and lies are absolute things, whereas truth is a relative thing.  Democracy is about preserving a world that supports many truths – establishing single truths is the business of fundamentalism.

This insight doesn’t give me the answer – I can’t, as a consequence, design a process that allows us to re-establish trust in information presented to us (by the media or Twitter).  However, I hope it does illustrate the direction of travel.

Qantas: chasing the wrong type of engagement

Thanks to Andy Lark for drawing my attention to this.  Another disasterous attempt at a social media campaign that highlights the points I made in my post yesterday.  Qantas is using social media in the wrong way, chasing the wrong type of engagement.  They are simply dragging a traditional marketing approach into social media.  Organisations have to recognise that social media is fundamentally different (see land and sea analogy here) and thus requires a fundamentally different approach (see also post on wasting money here).

Update: And someone has now given it The Hitler Treatment – brilliant.

Bacon and the art of brand engagement (in social media)

Last month a piece of bacon gave me the answer to a question that has been plaguing me.   The bacon in question sat atop a potato salad served up on a Eurostar train from London to Brussels and the question was “how can a mass consumer brand use social media to generate engagement”.

First the bacon.  The issue was, it was poorly cooked.  Call me a food snob, but I believe that if you are to serve cold bacon, especially with cold potatoes, the bacon has to be well cooked, so the fat on it is rendered, crisp and tasty.  In fact, I don’t believe this is a matter of opinion, I suspect there is not a single chef of any repute who would disagree with me on this point.   Which is why I was disappointed to find that Eurostar, in its Business Premier class, was serving poorly cooked bacon.  This wasn’t a culinary disaster, but it was an indicator of poor performance.  It was something that, if I were CEO of Eurostar, I would want to pick up and address.

So – I took a picture of said bacon and put it in a tweet to @EurostarHere it is.  I didn’t receive a reply.  This caused me to think about my relationship with the brand Eurostar – my ‘engagement’ with Eurostar to use a term that the social media revolution has now made a permanent fixture in the lexicon of marketing-speak.  Continue reading

HSBC: poised on the brink of expensive social media failure

I have just seen a report in PR Week that HSBC is looking for digital agencies to help it build what appears to be a massive community within which its customers are going to manage their lives.  As the brief puts it ‘We will build a distinct digital offering centred on customers’ future needs, financial and non-financial.’

The amount of money that HSBC is going to waste in pursuit of this flawed objective makes me want to weep – not least because I bank with HSBC (or First Direct which is basically the same thing).

Now HSBC is absolutely right to identify the importance of community and communities within social media.  It is absolutely wrong to assume that this means you can build communities within which your customers will then live.  The most important thing to realise about communities in social media is that consumers, customers or citizens will create (and are in fact creating) communities in order to manage their relationships with institutions.  They will not want to be managed within communities created by institutions. Continue reading

Is Google favouring Google Groups in Discussion search?

I am doing some research for a client identifying conversations and communities, using as just one of the tools, Google’s search by Discussions option.  I was finding that Google Groups seemed to rank very highly here and therefore wondered if this was just a quirk of the (relatively specialist) subject matter I was investigating and therefore an interesting insight to report to the client.  But then, switching topics, I found the same thing – a high prevalence of Google Groups in Google Discussion search.

Is Google therefore artificially boosting the rank of content in Google Groups, over and above other forums or platforms, in order to increase the attractiveness of Google Groups as a platform for group or community formation?  Or is what I have found just a chance effect?  Would be worth taking a closer look at this – hence why I have flagged this for Eli Pariser, author of the excellent The Filter Bubble and expert Google watcher.

I am now a Huffington Post blogger

I was lucky enough to meet Arianna Huffington at the DigitalAge 2011 conference in Istanbul a couple of weeks ago.  We had a very interesting chat at the conference speakers’ dinner – one result of which is that I am now a Huffington Post blogger.  Not quite sure what I am going to post and how, or if, it will be different from what I post here.  Anyway, you can follow me here http://www.huffingtonpost.com/richard-stacy

It was interesting to see the appetite from people at the conference for The Huffington Post to establish a Turkish edition (and speculation that Arianna’s presence in Istanbul must be linked to this), which really illustrated that the less freedom of expression people enjoy, the greater their appetite to by-pass the official media, which is likely to be allied to political or commercial elites, and establish a people’s media.  And the other interesting thing is the role a hybrid platfrom, like The Huffington Post, could perform.  Being a politcal blogger is quite hard work in Turkey at the moment, but an organisation like The Huffington Post could offer a form of safe house for political opinion on account of the fact that it straddles the worlds of traditional and social media.

 

The power of PR

I am writing this on the way back from Brussels where I was at the Europcom conference, participating in a workshop on social media and also a member of an ‘expert panel’  at the conference’s plenary session.  The keynote speaker at this plenary session was Simon Anholt, who gave an accomplished performance – both provocative and inspiring to the assembled audience of ‘European communicators’.  At the end of his speech, Simon delivered a broadside against public relations, saying that he never understood what it did and why it deserved any attention.

As a self-confessed former PR consultant, I promised a member of the audience that I would take this up with Simon, but he disappeared before I could do so.  So here is my response to Simon on behalf of that member of the audience and the discipline of public relations.

Simon, I would like to tell you a story.  It is a story which is both horrible and compelling, because it shows the incredible power of PR and lead to the death of millions of people.  It is about a man called Edward Bernays.  Edward Bernays is credited with being the father of PR.  Back in the 1930s Edward was approached by the tobacco industry in the USA.  They told him that their problem was that half of the population, i.e. women, did not want to smoke.  Now Edward was a nephew of Sigmund Freud and the man largely responsible for introducing Freud to the USA.  He therefore got some psychoanalysts to look at this problem.  Their response, in a typical Freudian way, was to suggest that the real issue was that cigarettes were a penis – a representation of male power – and that they therefore stood for what women wanted, but couldn’t have.   Bernays therefore said that the tobacco industry could use this (what we now call an insight) to suggest to women that the act of smoking represented a way (let’s call it a symbolic gesture) to signify their rejection of male dominance.

He organised for a group of debutantes to take part in New York’s Labour Day parade, and to have tucked into their stockings a packet of cigarettes.  At a predetermined place, they were all to remove the packets and light-up a cigarette.  And, of course, at this place, Bernays had arranged to have photographers from all the national newspapers positioned.  And here is the really clever bit.  He briefed the women to declare that cigarettes were “torches of freedom”.

The result: women in their millions took up smoking.  And not only that, it meant that do this day, the smoking of a cigarette is seen as a gesture of defiance and therefore immensely appealing to teenagers.  Bernays not only solved a problem the industry had, he solved the problem it did not yet realise it had.  And he also caused the death of millions of people.

The incredible thing about what Bernays did, is that while this is almost the founding act of PR, it emerged fully formed and has never been improved upon in the 80 years since.  It has everything – the insight (albeit a rather questionable one), the photocall, the soundbite, the story.   It is at the same time horrible and brilliant.  And there is not an ad man, nor ad campaign, that has ever existed that could hold a candle to the awful power of this act.  This, Simon, is the power of PR.

Arianna, Sedat and me

Next week I am in Istanbul talking at the Digital Age conference alongside Arianna Huffington and Turkish digital guru Sedat Kapanoglu.  So no real pressure then.  This post is actually just an excuse to publish the propmotional poster that shows me alongside two such elevated personages.